Computational analysis of expected climate change in the carpathian basin using a dynamical climate model

Judit Bartholy, Rita Pongrácz, Ildikó Pieczka, Péter Kardos, Adrienn Hunyady

Research output: Conference contribution

5 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

For analyzing the possible regional climate change in the Carpathian Basin, model PRECIS has been adapted, which is the hydrostatic regional climate model HadRM3P developed at the UK Met Office, Hadley Centre, and nested in HadCM3 GCM. First, control run simulations (1961-1990) of the PRECIS model (with two different sets of boundary conditions) are analyzed. In the validation, seasonal temperature and precipitation mean values from the CRU datasets are used. According to the results, model PRECIS slightly overestimates the temperature and underestimates the precipitation. Then, model results for the periods 2071-2100 (using SRES A2 scenario) and 1961-1990 (as the reference period) are compared. The results suggest that the temperature increase expected in the Carpathian Basin may considerably exceed theglobal warming rate. The climate of this region is expected to become wetter in winter and drier in the other seasons.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationNumerical Analysis and Its Applications - 4th International Conference, NAA 2008, Revised Selected Papers
Pages176-183
Number of pages8
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2009
Event4th International Conference on Numerical Analysis and Its Applications, NAA 2008 - Lozenetz, Bulgaria
Duration: jún. 16 2008jún. 20 2008

Publication series

NameLecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics)
Volume5434 LNCS
ISSN (Print)0302-9743
ISSN (Electronic)1611-3349

Other

Other4th International Conference on Numerical Analysis and Its Applications, NAA 2008
CountryBulgaria
CityLozenetz
Period6/16/086/20/08

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Theoretical Computer Science
  • Computer Science(all)

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    Bartholy, J., Pongrácz, R., Pieczka, I., Kardos, P., & Hunyady, A. (2009). Computational analysis of expected climate change in the carpathian basin using a dynamical climate model. In Numerical Analysis and Its Applications - 4th International Conference, NAA 2008, Revised Selected Papers (pp. 176-183). (Lecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics); Vol. 5434 LNCS). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-00464-3-17