Universal scaling laws in metro area election results

Eszter Bokányi, Zoltán Szállási, G. Vattay

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

5 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

We explain the anomaly of election results between large cities and rural areas in terms of urban scaling in the 1948–2016 US elections and in the 2016 EU referendum of the UK. The scaling curves are all universal and depend on a single parameter only, and one of the parties always shows superlinear scaling and drives the process, while the sublinear exponent of the other party is merely the consequence of probability conservation. Based on the recently developed model of urban scaling, we give a microscopic model of voter behavior in which we replace diversity characterizing humans in creative aspects with social diversity and tolerance. The model can also predict new political developments such as the fragmentation of the left and the immigration paradox.

Original languageEnglish
Article numbere0192913
JournalPLoS One
Volume13
Issue number2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Feb 1 2018

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Scaling laws
Emigration and Immigration
rural areas
immigration
Conservation
Drive

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology(all)
  • Agricultural and Biological Sciences(all)

Cite this

Universal scaling laws in metro area election results. / Bokányi, Eszter; Szállási, Zoltán; Vattay, G.

In: PLoS One, Vol. 13, No. 2, e0192913, 01.02.2018.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Bokányi, Eszter ; Szállási, Zoltán ; Vattay, G. / Universal scaling laws in metro area election results. In: PLoS One. 2018 ; Vol. 13, No. 2.
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