Projected changes of extreme precipitation using multi-model approach

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19 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Excessive precipitation may result in different environmental and socio-economical damages. In order to mitigate or avoid the potential losses associated to these, it is essential to provide estimations of precipitation tendencies for the future, which facilitate to build appropriate adaptation strategies in time. In this paper we used bias-corrected daily precipitation outputs of 11 regional climate model (RCM) simulations to determine the projected precipitation trends for the Carpathian Basin. According to the results of the analysis of precipitation indices, frequency of extreme precipitation will generally increase in the entire Central/Eastern European domain, except in summer, when decreasing trend is very likely in Hungary as well as in the southern regions.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)129-142
Number of pages14
JournalIdojaras
Volume119
Issue number2
Publication statusPublished - Apr 1 2015

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Keywords

  • Climate index
  • Heavy precipitation
  • Percentile values
  • Precipitation intensity
  • Regional climate change

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Atmospheric Science

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