Projected changes in heat wave characteristics in the Carpathian Basin comparing different definitions

Júlia Göndöcs, Breuer Hajnalka, Rita Pongrácz, Judit Bartholy

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

2 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Heat waves (HWs) associated with climate change and increased near-surface air temperature can be considered as a climatic hazard for people and the environment. This study evaluates six HW detecting methods and the estimated HW characteristics (duration, frequency and intensity) from observational (CarpatClim database) and modelled (RegCM simulations with the representative concentration pathway (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5) datasets. The RegCM model results show a considerable future increase (by 2016-2045; 2061-2090) in HW days compared to the reference period (1971-2000). In case of RCP4.5, HW days become 3-6 times more frequent, while the increase is 5-9 fold for RCP8.5 by the end of the century. As a consequence of climate change, HW durations are also projected to become 1-2 (3-4) days longer on average for RCP4.5 (RCP8.5) in the Carpathian Basin.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)119-135
Number of pages17
JournalInternational Journal of Global Warming
Volume16
Issue number2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2018

Keywords

  • Bias correction.
  • Climate change
  • Cloudiness
  • Heat wave definition
  • Regional climate model
  • Temperature

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Global and Planetary Change
  • Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law
  • Atmospheric Science

Fingerprint Dive into the research topics of 'Projected changes in heat wave characteristics in the Carpathian Basin comparing different definitions'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

  • Cite this