Predicting interplanetary shock arrivals at Earth, Mars, and Venus: A real-time modeling experiment following the solar flares of 5-14 December 2006

S. M P McKenna-Lawlor, M. Dryer, C. D. Fry, Z. K. Smith, D. S. Intriligator, W. R. Courtney, C. S. Deehr, W. Sun, K. Kecskeméty, K. Kudela, J. Balaz, S. Barabash, Y. Futaana, M. Yamauchi, R. Lundin

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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Abstract

A 3-D, kinematic, solar wind model (Hakamada-Akasofu-Fry version 2 (HAFv.2)) is used to predict interplanetary shock arrivals at Venus, Earth, and Mars during a sequence of significant solar events that occurred in the interval 5-14 December 2006. Mars and Venus were on the opposite side of the Sun from Earth during this period. The shocks from the first two east limb events (5 and 6 December) were predicted to interact to form a single disturbance before reaching Earth and Venus. A single shock was indeed recorded at Earth only about 3 h earlier than had been predicted. The composite shock was predicted by HAFv.2 to arrive at Venus on 8 December at ∼0500 UT. Solar energetic particles (SEPs) were detected in Venus Express Analyzer of Space Plasmas and Energetic Atoms-4 data for some 3 d (from

Original languageEnglish
Article numberA06101
JournalJournal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics
Volume113
Issue number6
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jun 1 2008

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interplanetary shock waves
Venus (planet)
solar flares
Venus
kinematics
mars
arrivals
Mars
Earth (planet)
modeling
shock
experiment
Experiments
energetics
Solar wind
space plasmas
Sun
energetic particles
Kinematics
limbs

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Geophysics
  • Space and Planetary Science

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Predicting interplanetary shock arrivals at Earth, Mars, and Venus : A real-time modeling experiment following the solar flares of 5-14 December 2006. / McKenna-Lawlor, S. M P; Dryer, M.; Fry, C. D.; Smith, Z. K.; Intriligator, D. S.; Courtney, W. R.; Deehr, C. S.; Sun, W.; Kecskeméty, K.; Kudela, K.; Balaz, J.; Barabash, S.; Futaana, Y.; Yamauchi, M.; Lundin, R.

In: Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, Vol. 113, No. 6, A06101, 01.06.2008.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

McKenna-Lawlor, SMP, Dryer, M, Fry, CD, Smith, ZK, Intriligator, DS, Courtney, WR, Deehr, CS, Sun, W, Kecskeméty, K, Kudela, K, Balaz, J, Barabash, S, Futaana, Y, Yamauchi, M & Lundin, R 2008, 'Predicting interplanetary shock arrivals at Earth, Mars, and Venus: A real-time modeling experiment following the solar flares of 5-14 December 2006', Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, vol. 113, no. 6, A06101. https://doi.org/10.1029/2007JA012577
McKenna-Lawlor, S. M P ; Dryer, M. ; Fry, C. D. ; Smith, Z. K. ; Intriligator, D. S. ; Courtney, W. R. ; Deehr, C. S. ; Sun, W. ; Kecskeméty, K. ; Kudela, K. ; Balaz, J. ; Barabash, S. ; Futaana, Y. ; Yamauchi, M. ; Lundin, R. / Predicting interplanetary shock arrivals at Earth, Mars, and Venus : A real-time modeling experiment following the solar flares of 5-14 December 2006. In: Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics. 2008 ; Vol. 113, No. 6.
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