Precursors of an upcoming solar cycle at high latitudes from coronal green line data

K. Petrovay, M. Nagy, T. Gerják, L. Juhász

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

3 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

After reviewing potential early indicators of an upcoming solar cycle at high latitudes, we focus attention on the rush–to-the-poles (RTTP) phenomenon in coronal green line emission. Considering various correlations between properties of the RTTP with the upcoming solar cycle we find a correlation between the rate of the RTTP and the time delay until the maximum of the next solar cycle. On the basis of this correlation and the known internal regularities of the sunspot number series we predict that, following a minimum in 2019, cycle 25 will peak in late 2024 at an amplitude of about 130 (in terms of smoothed monthly revised sunspot numbers). This slightly exceeds the amplitude of cycle 24 but it would still make cycle 25 a fairly weak cycle.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)15-20
Number of pages6
JournalJournal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics
Volume176
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Sep 2018

Keywords

  • Solar activity
  • Solar cycle
  • Sun
  • Sunspot number

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Geophysics
  • Atmospheric Science
  • Space and Planetary Science

Fingerprint Dive into the research topics of 'Precursors of an upcoming solar cycle at high latitudes from coronal green line data'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

  • Cite this