How do American stroke risk functions perform in a Western European population?

Zoltán Vokó, Monika Hollander, Peter J. Koudstaal, Albert Hofman, Monique M.B. Breteler

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

12 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Objectives: We evaluated the predictive performance of the stroke risk functions from the Framingham and the Cardiovascular Health Study in a population-based study in The Netherlands. Methods: We assessed how well the functions could estimate the number of strokes in the Rotterdam Study, and how well they could discriminate between high- and low-risk persons. Results: Both functions predicted the number of stroke cases reasonably well, except in persons with a predicted 5-year risk higher than 5%, where they overestimated the risk. The area under the receiver operator characteristic curve was 0.75 (95% confidence interval, 0.71-0.78) for both functions. Conclusions: Stroke risk functions developed in US populations predict the number of strokes reasonably well in elderly Western European persons at low or modest risk for stroke. The functions can be a useful tool to discriminate between persons at high or low risk for stroke.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)247-253
Number of pages7
JournalNeuroepidemiology
Volume23
Issue number5
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Sep 16 2004

Keywords

  • Cerebrovascular disorders
  • Cohort studies
  • Risk assessment
  • Risk factors
  • Stroke

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Epidemiology
  • Clinical Neurology

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  • Cite this

    Vokó, Z., Hollander, M., Koudstaal, P. J., Hofman, A., & Breteler, M. M. B. (2004). How do American stroke risk functions perform in a Western European population? Neuroepidemiology, 23(5), 247-253. https://doi.org/10.1159/000079951