Forest insects and climate change

Long-term trends in herbivore damage

Maartje J. Klapwijk, G. Csóka, Anikó Hirka, Christer Bjöorkman

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

28 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Long-term data sets, covering several decades, could help to reveal the effects of observed climate change on herbivore damage to plants. However, sufficiently long time series in ecology are scarce. The research presented here analyzes a long-term data set collected by the Hungarian Forest Research Institute over the period 1961-2009. The number of hectares with visible defoliation was estimated and documented for several forest insect pest species. This resulted in a unique time series that provides us with the opportunity to compare insect damage trends with trends in weather patterns. Data were analyzed for six lepidopteran species: Thaumetopoea processionea, Tortrix viridana, Rhyacionia buoliana, Malacosoma neustria, Euproctis chrysorrhoea, and Lymantria dispar. All these species exhibit outbreak dynamics in Hungary. Five of these species prefer deciduous tree species as their host plants, whereas R. buoliana is a specialist on Pinus spp. The data were analyzed using general linear models and generalized least squares regression in relation to mean monthly temperature and precipitation. Temperature increased considerably, especially over the last 25 years (+1.6°C), whereas precipitation exhibited no trend over the period. No change in weather variability over time was observed. There was increased damage caused by two species on deciduous trees. The area of damage attributed to R. buoliana decreased over the study period. There was no evidence of increased variability in damage. We conclude that species exhibiting a trend toward outbreak-level damage over a greater geographical area may be positively affected by changes in weather conditions coinciding with important life stages. Strong associations between the geographical extent of severe damage and monthly temperature and precipitation are difficult to confirm, studying the life-history traits of species could help to increase understanding of responses to climate change.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)4183-4196
Number of pages14
JournalEcology and Evolution
Volume3
Issue number12
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2013

Fingerprint

Rhyacionia buoliana
forest insects
herbivore
herbivores
weather
climate change
insect
damage
time series analysis
Malacosoma neustria
Euproctis chrysorrhoea
Tortrix viridana
Thaumetopoea
forest pests
temperature
Lymantria dispar
defoliation
deciduous tree
Hungary
insect pests

Keywords

  • Herbivory
  • Hungary
  • Lepidoptera
  • Moths
  • Precipitation
  • Temperature
  • Variability
  • Weather

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics
  • Ecology
  • Nature and Landscape Conservation

Cite this

Forest insects and climate change : Long-term trends in herbivore damage. / Klapwijk, Maartje J.; Csóka, G.; Hirka, Anikó; Bjöorkman, Christer.

In: Ecology and Evolution, Vol. 3, No. 12, 2013, p. 4183-4196.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Klapwijk, Maartje J. ; Csóka, G. ; Hirka, Anikó ; Bjöorkman, Christer. / Forest insects and climate change : Long-term trends in herbivore damage. In: Ecology and Evolution. 2013 ; Vol. 3, No. 12. pp. 4183-4196.
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