An Earth-system prediction initiative for the twenty-first century

Melvyn Shapiro, Jagadish Shukla, Gilbert Brunet, Carlos Nobre, Michel Béland, Randall Dole, Kevin Trenberth, Richard Anthes, Ghassem Asrar, Leonard Barrie, Philippe Bougeault, Guy Brasseur, David Burridge, Antonio Busalacchi, Jim Caughey, Deliang Chen, John Church, Takeshi Enomoto, Brian Hoskins, Øystein Hov & 20 others Arlene Laing, Hervé Le Treut, Jochem Marotzke, Gordon McBean, Gerald Meehl, Martin Miller, Brian Mills, John Mitchell, Mitchell Moncrieff, Tetsuo Nakazawa, Haraldur Olafsson, Tim Palmer, David Parsons, David Rogers, Adrian Simmons, Alberto Troccoli, Z. Tóth, Louis Uccellini, Christopher Velden, John M. Wallace

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

56 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Some scientists have proposed the Earth-System Prediction Initiative (EPI) at the 2007 GEO Summit in Cape Town, South Africa. EPI will draw upon coordination between international programs for Earth system observations, prediction, and warning, such as the WCRP, WWRP, GCOS, and hence contribute to GEO and the GEOSS. It will link with international organizations, such as the International Council for Science (ICSU), Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC), UNEP, WMO, and World Health Organization (WHO). The proposed initiative will provide high-resolution climate models that capture the properties of regional high-impact weather events, such as tropical cyclones, heat wave, and sand and dust storms associated within multi-decadal climate projections of climate variability and change. Unprecedented international collaboration and goodwill are necessary for the success of EPI.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1377-1388
Number of pages12
JournalBulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Volume91
Issue number10
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Oct 2010

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twenty first century
prediction
United Nations Environment Program
dust storm
international organization
World Health Organization
climate
tropical cyclone
climate modeling
weather
sand

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Atmospheric Science

Cite this

Shapiro, M., Shukla, J., Brunet, G., Nobre, C., Béland, M., Dole, R., ... Wallace, J. M. (2010). An Earth-system prediction initiative for the twenty-first century. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 91(10), 1377-1388. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010BAMS2944.1

An Earth-system prediction initiative for the twenty-first century. / Shapiro, Melvyn; Shukla, Jagadish; Brunet, Gilbert; Nobre, Carlos; Béland, Michel; Dole, Randall; Trenberth, Kevin; Anthes, Richard; Asrar, Ghassem; Barrie, Leonard; Bougeault, Philippe; Brasseur, Guy; Burridge, David; Busalacchi, Antonio; Caughey, Jim; Chen, Deliang; Church, John; Enomoto, Takeshi; Hoskins, Brian; Hov, Øystein; Laing, Arlene; Le Treut, Hervé; Marotzke, Jochem; McBean, Gordon; Meehl, Gerald; Miller, Martin; Mills, Brian; Mitchell, John; Moncrieff, Mitchell; Nakazawa, Tetsuo; Olafsson, Haraldur; Palmer, Tim; Parsons, David; Rogers, David; Simmons, Adrian; Troccoli, Alberto; Tóth, Z.; Uccellini, Louis; Velden, Christopher; Wallace, John M.

In: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 91, No. 10, 10.2010, p. 1377-1388.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Shapiro, M, Shukla, J, Brunet, G, Nobre, C, Béland, M, Dole, R, Trenberth, K, Anthes, R, Asrar, G, Barrie, L, Bougeault, P, Brasseur, G, Burridge, D, Busalacchi, A, Caughey, J, Chen, D, Church, J, Enomoto, T, Hoskins, B, Hov, Ø, Laing, A, Le Treut, H, Marotzke, J, McBean, G, Meehl, G, Miller, M, Mills, B, Mitchell, J, Moncrieff, M, Nakazawa, T, Olafsson, H, Palmer, T, Parsons, D, Rogers, D, Simmons, A, Troccoli, A, Tóth, Z, Uccellini, L, Velden, C & Wallace, JM 2010, 'An Earth-system prediction initiative for the twenty-first century', Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, vol. 91, no. 10, pp. 1377-1388. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010BAMS2944.1
Shapiro, Melvyn ; Shukla, Jagadish ; Brunet, Gilbert ; Nobre, Carlos ; Béland, Michel ; Dole, Randall ; Trenberth, Kevin ; Anthes, Richard ; Asrar, Ghassem ; Barrie, Leonard ; Bougeault, Philippe ; Brasseur, Guy ; Burridge, David ; Busalacchi, Antonio ; Caughey, Jim ; Chen, Deliang ; Church, John ; Enomoto, Takeshi ; Hoskins, Brian ; Hov, Øystein ; Laing, Arlene ; Le Treut, Hervé ; Marotzke, Jochem ; McBean, Gordon ; Meehl, Gerald ; Miller, Martin ; Mills, Brian ; Mitchell, John ; Moncrieff, Mitchell ; Nakazawa, Tetsuo ; Olafsson, Haraldur ; Palmer, Tim ; Parsons, David ; Rogers, David ; Simmons, Adrian ; Troccoli, Alberto ; Tóth, Z. ; Uccellini, Louis ; Velden, Christopher ; Wallace, John M. / An Earth-system prediction initiative for the twenty-first century. In: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 2010 ; Vol. 91, No. 10. pp. 1377-1388.
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