A chaotically driven model climate: Extreme events and snapshot attractors

T. Bódai, Gy Karolyi, T. Tél

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

19 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

In a low-order chaotic global atmospheric circulation model the effects of deterministic chaotic driving are investigated. As a result of driving, peak-over-threshold type extreme events, e.g. cyclonic activity in the model, become more extreme, with increased frequency of recurrence. When the characteristic time of the driving is comparable to that of the undriven system, a resonance effect with amplified variance shows up. For very fast driving we find a reduced enhancement of variance, which is also the case with white noise driving. Snapshot attractors and their natural measures are determined as a function of time, and a resonance effects is also identified. The extreme value statistics of group maxima is found to follow a Weibull distribution.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)573-580
Number of pages8
JournalNonlinear Processes in Geophysics
Volume18
Issue number5
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2011

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Statistical and Nonlinear Physics
  • Geophysics
  • Geochemistry and Petrology

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